Economic Recession
Sep 26
You don’t need a degree in economics to see that we’re in a serious economic recession. The Meriam-Webster Dictionary defines a recession as “a general slowdown in economic activity.” Similarly, the Encarta World Dictionary says a recession occurs when there is a “contraction in the business cycle” of buying and production. Truly hindsight is 20/20, as we can now see how precariously the financial fate of our nation was throughout the nineties and new millennium, placing all our stock on a housing and construction gamble. Yet many Americans are still asking, “How did we get here?” And more importantly, “Why did no one see this coming?”
Anyone who studies basic economics saw the current recession coming for several years now, although it was hard to predict just how hard and how fast we’d fall. Mere months before the bottom fell out, causing enormous financial institutions and mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to collapse, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson was quoted as saying, “the fundamentals of the economy are sound.” In Economics 101, students learn the signs of a recession, which are job losses, exports support manufacturing, a drop in housing prices, a decline in profits, limited impact of short-term stimulus dollars, rising inventories, artificially low interest rates, lack of buyer confidence and lack of investor confidence. The American economy had all the ingredients for the perfect disaster.
Microeconomics experts have been busy examining how individual households and businesses make decisions. When consumer spending goes down, companies first cut jobs and sometimes they collapse. This, in turn, causes more consumers to stop spending because they’ve lost their jobs, which may affect other unrelated businesses. In the current economic recession, massive-scale job losses began in February 2008, when 63,000 jobs were shed. By the following September, another 156,000 jobs were lost, which was followed by an astounding 533,000 job cuts in November, which was the largest single-month job loss since the Great Depression. From December of 2007 to March 2009, there have been 5.1 million job losses. Over this same period, investor and consumer confidence has declined further, thus making it more difficult to rebound.
Top market economists disagree vehemently on how we can dig out of the economic recession. Some argue for a heavy-handed government comparable to Franklin D. Roosevelt’s, where the “New Deal” programs stimulated much-needed industries. Others argue for decreasing business taxes and regulation to create more jobs or investing in energy/infrastructure to create more jobs. Perhaps we really found our way out of the Great Depression through World War II production and exporting. The current administration has used a number of different approaches so far to stimulate our road to recovery, but eager Americans wonder when we’ll actually see the signs of a rebound.
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